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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 54.76%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 23.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Schalke 04 |
54.76% ( 0) | 22.07% ( 0.01) | 23.17% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.44% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.33% ( -0.04) | 39.66% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.98% ( -0.04) | 62.01% ( 0.04) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.54% ( -0.01) | 14.46% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.58% ( -0.02) | 42.42% ( 0.03) |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.49% ( -0.03) | 30.51% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.27% ( -0.04) | 66.73% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Schalke 04 |
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.31% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.32% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 54.76% | 1-1 @ 10.12% 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.06% | 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 23.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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