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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 23.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Schalke 04 | Draw | Mainz 05 |
23.28% | 23.63% | 53.09% |
Both teams to score 54.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.43% | 46.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.16% | 68.84% |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.78% | 34.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.09% | 70.91% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.5% | 17.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.01% | 47.99% |
Score Analysis |
Schalke 04 | Draw | Mainz 05 |
1-0 @ 6.42% 2-1 @ 6% 2-0 @ 3.44% 3-1 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 1.87% 3-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.17% Total : 23.28% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 5.99% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.63% | 0-1 @ 10.43% 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-2 @ 9.1% 1-3 @ 5.67% 0-3 @ 5.29% 2-3 @ 3.04% 1-4 @ 2.47% 0-4 @ 2.3% 2-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.71% Total : 53.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 62 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 61 |
3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 56 |
4 | Freiburg | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 56 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 54 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 48 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 46 |
8 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 45 |
9 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 43 |
10 | FC Koln | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 38 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 36 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 35 |
13 | Augsburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 31 |
14 | Schalke 04Schalke | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 30 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 29 |
16 | Stuttgart | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 28 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 28 |
18 | Hertha Berlin | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 61 | -26 | 22 |
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