MX23RW : Friday, March 22 03:07:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Apr 8, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Mainz
2 - 2
Werder Bremen

Ajorque (85'), Weiper (90+3')
Onisiwo (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stage (87'), Fullkrug (90+5')
Gross (28'), Stage (42'), Ducksch (59'), Gruev (81'), Stark (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-3 Mainz
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Hoffenheim
Sunday, April 2 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 3-1 Werder Bremen

Mainz have been blowing sides away in the league of late, scoring 10 goals in their games with Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Monchengladbach. Their next opponents are very much out-of-form, meaning a routine home win is potentially on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 21.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawWerder Bremen
56.38% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 21.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 21.76% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.61% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)40.39% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.23%62.76% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.81% (0.0010000000000048 0)14.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.1% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)41.9% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)32.15% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)68.63% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 56.38%
    Werder Bremen 21.76%
    Draw 21.85%
Mainz 05DrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.87%
1-0 @ 8.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.7% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 6.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.65%
4-1 @ 3.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.78%
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 56.38%
1-1 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.56%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.85%
1-2 @ 5.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 21.76%

How you voted: Mainz vs Werder Bremen

Mainz 05
86.8%
Draw
7.9%
Werder Bremen
5.3%
38
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Dec 19, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 17, 2019 5.30pm
Werder Bremen
0-5
Mainz

Eggestein (77'), Bittencourt (79')
Quaison (10', 19', 38'), Pavlenka (15' og.), Mateta (81')
Fernandes (18'), Baku (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26224066184870
2Bayern MunichBayern26193478314760
3Stuttgart26182660312956
4Borussia DortmundDortmund26148453322150
5RB Leipzig26154760322849
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26101064235740
7Augsburg269894342135
8Hoffenheim2696114450-633
9Freiburg2696113648-1233
10Werder Bremen2686123541-630
11Heidenheim2678113544-929
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26610104650-428
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2684142542-1728
14Wolfsburg2667133144-1325
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum26510113054-2425
16Mainz 05Mainz26310132246-2419
17FC Koln2639142047-2718
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt2627172665-3913


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