Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 37.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
