Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
45.62% ( 0.15) | 23.93% ( -0.02) | 30.45% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 59.6% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.57% ( 0.04) | 42.43% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.17% ( 0.04) | 64.83% ( -0.03) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.19% ( 0.08) | 18.81% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.76% ( 0.13) | 50.24% ( -0.13) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.41% ( -0.06) | 26.59% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.18% ( -0.08) | 61.82% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.38% Total : 45.62% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 30.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |