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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Stuttgart | Draw | Mainz 05 |
49.29% ( -0.43) | 23.79% ( -0.02) | 26.92% ( 0.45) |
Both teams to score 57.54% ( 0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56% ( 0.45) | 44% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.61% ( 0.43) | 66.38% ( -0.44) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.04% ( 0) | 17.96% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.2% ( 0.01) | 48.79% ( -0.01) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.14% ( 0.58) | 29.86% ( -0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.05% ( 0.69) | 65.95% ( -0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Stuttgart | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.62% Total : 49.29% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.18% Total : 26.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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