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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Sep 26, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
OPEL ARENA
Stuttgart
Mainz 05
1 - 4
Stuttgart
Quaison (13')
Niakhate (37')
Niakhate (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wamangituka (45'), Didavi (61'), Klimowicz (80'), Kalajdzic (86')
Stenzel (52'), Mangala (69'), Castro (74')
Stenzel (90+1')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Stuttgart, including predictions and team news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
32.51%24.25%43.24%
Both teams to score 59.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.97%43.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.57%65.43%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4%25.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51%60.49%
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.93%20.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.69%52.3%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 32.51%
    Stuttgart 43.24%
    Draw 24.25%
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 7.66%
1-0 @ 7%
2-0 @ 4.77%
3-1 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.79%
3-0 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 32.51%
1-1 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 9.03%
0-1 @ 8.25%
0-2 @ 6.63%
1-3 @ 4.83%
0-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 3.29%
1-4 @ 1.94%
0-4 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 43.24%

Head to Head
Jan 19, 2019 2.30pm
gameweek 18
Stuttgart
2-3
Mainz
Gonzalez (83'), Kempf (85')
Kempf (20'), Ascacibar (89')
Ascacibar (22' og.), Mateta (28'), Hack (72')
Brosinski (84'), Holtmann (90')
Aug 26, 2018 2.30pm
Jan 20, 2018 2.30pm
Mainz
3-2
Stuttgart
Muto (45', 54'), Holtmann (64')
de Jong (47'), Zentner (90')
Badstuber (19'), Ginczek (90')
Insua (12'), Ginczek (59'), Burnic (75'), Pavard (83')
Dec 19, 2017 5.30pm
Third Round
Mainz
3-1
Stuttgart
Berggreen (62'), Diallo (71'), Serdar (90')
Latza (38'), Quaison (54')
Gentner (42')
Beck (70')
Aug 26, 2017 2.30pm
Content continues below the video

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Borussia DortmundDortmund33224781423970
2Bayern MunichBayern33208590375368
3RB Leipzig33196860392163
4Union BerlinUnion Berlin33178850381259
5Freiburg3317885042859
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen331481157461150
7Wolfsburg3313101056461049
8Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt331211105651547
9Mainz 05Mainz33129125253-145
10FC Koln331012114852-442
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach331010135055-540
12Werder Bremen33106175163-1236
13Hoffenheim33105184756-935
14Augsburg3397174261-1934
15Stuttgart33711154456-1232
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum3395193772-3532
17Schalke 04Schalke33710163367-3431
18Hertha Berlin3368194068-2826

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