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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Stuttgart |
32.51% | 24.25% | 43.24% |
Both teams to score 59.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.97% | 43.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.57% | 65.43% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.4% | 25.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.51% | 60.49% |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.93% | 20.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.69% | 52.3% |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Stuttgart |
2-1 @ 7.66% 1-0 @ 7% 2-0 @ 4.77% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 2.79% 3-0 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.5% Total : 32.51% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 9.03% 0-1 @ 8.25% 0-2 @ 6.63% 1-3 @ 4.83% 0-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 3.29% 1-4 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.98% Total : 43.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 81 | 42 | 39 | 70 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 90 | 37 | 53 | 68 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 60 | 39 | 21 | 63 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 59 |
5 | Freiburg | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 50 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 49 |
8 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 47 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 45 |
10 | FC Koln | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 40 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 51 | 63 | -12 | 36 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 35 |
14 | Augsburg | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 34 |
15 | Stuttgart | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 32 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 32 |
17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 31 |
18 | Hertha Berlin | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 40 | 68 | -28 | 26 |
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