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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 16, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Stuttgart
Mainz 05
0 - 0
Stuttgart
FT

Matarazzo (45+2'), Stenzel (70')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 05 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 FC Koln
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Dynamo Dresden vs. Stuttgart
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Mainz 05 1-1 Stuttgart

Stuttgart certainly have more to play for in this game and will be desperate for three points to increase their lead over the bottom three, but they face a tough test. Given the absences they are dealing with, we opt for a draw on Saturday, with Mainz also likely seeing the meeting as a good opportunity to add to their points tally. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 52.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
52.82%24.53%22.64%
Both teams to score 50.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.07%50.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.19%72.8%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.76%19.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.05%50.95%
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.77%37.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.99%74.01%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 52.82%
    Stuttgart 22.65%
    Draw 24.53%
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
1-0 @ 11.8%
2-0 @ 9.73%
2-1 @ 9.61%
3-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 5.28%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-0 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 52.82%
1-1 @ 11.66%
0-0 @ 7.16%
2-2 @ 4.75%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 7.08%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-2 @ 3.5%
1-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 22.65%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart

Mainz 05
82.8%
Draw
13.8%
Stuttgart
3.4%
29
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2021 7.30pm
Stuttgart
2-1
Mainz 05
Ito (21'), Sosa (51')
Mangala (36'), Sosa (90+2')
Hack (39')
Caricol (9'), Boetius (90+5')
Jan 29, 2021 7.30pm
Stuttgart
2-0
Mainz 05
Kalajdzic (55'), Wamangituka (72')
Forster (33')

Niakhate (21'), Bell (43'), Onisiwo (45+1'), Svensson (54'), Kohr (81')
Sep 26, 2020 2.30pm
Mainz 05
1-4
Stuttgart
Quaison (13')
Niakhate (37')
Niakhate (77')
Wamangituka (45'), Didavi (61'), Klimowicz (80'), Kalajdzic (86')
Stenzel (52'), Mangala (69'), Castro (74')
Stenzel (90+1')
Jan 19, 2019 2.30pm
Stuttgart
2-3
Mainz 05
Gonzalez (83'), Kempf (85')
Kempf (20'), Ascacibar (89')
Ascacibar (22' og.), Mateta (28'), Hack (72')
Brosinski (84'), Holtmann (90')
Aug 26, 2018 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Borussia DortmundDortmund33224781423970
2Bayern MunichBayern33208590375368
3RB Leipzig33196860392163
4Union BerlinUnion Berlin33178850381259
5Freiburg3317885042859
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen331481157461150
7Wolfsburg3313101056461049
8Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt331211105651547
9Mainz 05Mainz33129125253-145
10FC Koln331012114852-442
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach331010135055-540
12Werder Bremen33106175163-1236
13Hoffenheim33105184756-935
14Augsburg3397174261-1934
15Stuttgart33711154456-1232
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum3395193772-3532
17Schalke 04Schalke33710163367-3431
18Hertha Berlin3368194068-2826

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