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Mar 19, 2022 at 2.30pm UK at Coface Arena
Mainz 05
4 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld
Burkardt (1', 75' pen.), Niakhate (65' pen.), Ingvartsen (79' pen.)
Kohr (10')
FT(HT: 1-0)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Arminia Bielefeld, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 14.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawArminia Bielefeld
63.81%21.76%14.43%
Both teams to score 44.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52%51.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.71%73.29%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.49%15.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.59%44.42%
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.8%47.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.36%82.64%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 63.8%
    Arminia Bielefeld 14.43%
    Draw 21.75%
Mainz 05DrawArminia Bielefeld
1-0 @ 13.64%
2-0 @ 12.71%
2-1 @ 9.55%
3-0 @ 7.9%
3-1 @ 5.93%
4-0 @ 3.68%
4-1 @ 2.76%
3-2 @ 2.23%
5-0 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 1.04%
5-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 63.8%
1-1 @ 10.24%
0-0 @ 7.32%
2-2 @ 3.58%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.75%
0-1 @ 5.5%
1-2 @ 3.85%
0-2 @ 2.06%
1-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 14.43%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Arminia Bielefeld

Mainz 05
79.3%
Draw
10.3%
Arminia Bielefeld
10.3%
29
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Arminia Bielefeld
1-2
Mainz 05
Laursen (42')
Andrade (52'), Prietl (70')
Jae-sung (25'), Burkardt (69')
Kohr (58'), Hack (77'), Bell (80')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Mainz 05
3-2
Arminia Bielefeld
Burkardt (53'), Onisiwo (59'), Ingvartsen (114')
Svensson (13'), Caricol (83')
Okugawa (2'), Klos (89')
Prietl (20'), Schopf (38'), Pieper (48'), Ramos (99')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Mainz 05
1-1
Arminia Bielefeld
Brosinski (56' pen.)
Bell (13'), Latza (73'), Barreiro (80'), Hack (90+4')
Voglsammer (76')
Lucoqui (14')
Dec 5, 2020 2.30pm
Arminia Bielefeld
2-1
Mainz 05
Prietl (21'), Doan (31')
Schipplock (74'), Hartel (85'), Kunze (90+4')
Stoger (82')
Niakhate (49'), St Juste (66')

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