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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
36.45% | 24.92% | 38.62% |
Both teams to score 58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.67% | 45.33% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.33% | 67.67% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.58% | 24.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.16% | 58.83% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.74% | 23.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.81% | 57.18% |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 8.23% 1-0 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 5.65% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.93% Total : 36.45% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.92% | 1-2 @ 8.52% 0-1 @ 8.28% 0-2 @ 6.04% 1-3 @ 4.14% 0-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.92% 1-4 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 1.07% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 13 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 13 |
4 | Stuttgart | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 12 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 12 |
6 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Freiburg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
10 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 |
12 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 5 |
13 | Heidenheim | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 4 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 3 |
15 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 2 |
16 | FC Koln | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 1 |
17 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
18 | Mainz 05Mainz | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 1 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |