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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.79%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Mainz 05 |
64.79% | 18.88% | 16.33% |
Both teams to score 58.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.97% | 35.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.97% | 57.03% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.81% | 10.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.53% | 33.47% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.44% | 34.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.72% | 71.28% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 9.76% 2-0 @ 9.19% 1-0 @ 8.05% 3-1 @ 7.43% 3-0 @ 6.99% 4-1 @ 4.24% 4-0 @ 3.99% 3-2 @ 3.95% 4-2 @ 2.25% 5-1 @ 1.94% 5-0 @ 1.82% 5-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 4.15% Total : 64.79% | 1-1 @ 8.55% 2-2 @ 5.18% 0-0 @ 3.52% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.89% | 1-2 @ 4.54% 0-1 @ 3.74% 0-2 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.84% 1-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.61% Total : 16.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 13 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 13 |
4 | Stuttgart | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 12 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 12 |
6 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Freiburg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
10 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 |
12 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 5 |
13 | Heidenheim | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 4 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 3 |
15 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 2 |
16 | FC Koln | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 1 |
17 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
18 | Mainz 05Mainz | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 1 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |