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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 22.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 1-0 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
Result | ||
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Coventry City |
22.48% ( 0.01) | 23.85% ( 0) | 53.67% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.59% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.68% ( -0.01) | 48.32% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.54% ( -0.01) | 70.46% ( 0.02) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.08% ( -0) | 35.92% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.3% ( -0) | 72.7% ( 0) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.08% ( -0.01) | 17.92% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.26% ( -0.02) | 48.74% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Coventry City |
1-0 @ 6.59% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.8% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.7% 3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 22.48% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.84% | 0-1 @ 11.06% 1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.51% 1-3 @ 5.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.4% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.34% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 53.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 28 | 42 | 82 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 82 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 80 | 49 | 31 | 81 |
4 | Southampton | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 73 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 66 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 61 |
7 | Hull City | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 58 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 57 |
9 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 56 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 54 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 53 |
12 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
13 | Watford | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 46 |
16 | Millwall | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 43 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 41 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 41 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 40 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 61 | -31 | 38 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 77 | -47 | 20 |
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