Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 61.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 17.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-0 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.