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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 65.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 15.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.29%).
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
65.65% ( 0.05) | 19.16% ( -0.03) | 15.19% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.9% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.27% ( 0.06) | 38.73% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.97% ( 0.06) | 61.03% ( -0.07) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.97% ( 0.03) | 11.02% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.67% ( 0.07) | 35.33% ( -0.07) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.7% ( 0) | 38.29% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.95% ( 0) | 75.05% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
2-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.31% Total : 65.65% | 1-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.16% | 1-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.51% 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 15.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 54 |
2 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 52 |
3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 50 |
4 | BarrowBarrow | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 49 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
6 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 60 | 52 | 8 | 43 |
7 | MK Dons | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 42 |
8 | Gillingham | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 41 |
9 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 40 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 39 |
11 | Crawley TownCrawley | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 39 |
12 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 |
13 | Walsall | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 36 |
14 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 35 |
15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Morecambe | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 34 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 34 |
18 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 33 |
19 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 28 |
20 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 28 |
21 | Salford City | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 27 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 25 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 19 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 18 |
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