Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.