Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 52.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Buxton had a probability of 22.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Buxton win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.