The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga game between Bayer Leverkusen and Mainz 05, including team news and predicted lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 16.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 1-0 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 64.18% | 18.83% | 16.99% |
| Both teams to score 60.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
