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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.54%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 19.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 1-0 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Stuttgart |
60.54% | 20.07% | 19.39% |
Both teams to score 60.76% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.69% | 35.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.67% | 57.33% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.64% | 11.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.93% | 36.07% |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.55% | 31.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.17% | 67.83% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Stuttgart |
2-1 @ 9.78% 2-0 @ 8.45% 1-0 @ 7.77% 3-1 @ 7.09% 3-0 @ 6.13% 3-2 @ 4.1% 4-1 @ 3.86% 4-0 @ 3.33% 4-2 @ 2.23% 5-1 @ 1.68% 5-0 @ 1.45% 5-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.71% Total : 60.54% | 1-1 @ 8.99% 2-2 @ 5.66% 0-0 @ 3.57% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.07% | 1-2 @ 5.2% 0-1 @ 4.13% 0-2 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.56% Total : 19.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 89 | 34 | 55 | 68 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 42 | 36 | 67 |
3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 59 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 57 |
5 | Freiburg | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 56 |
6 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 49 |
7 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 48 |
8 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 46 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 49 | 2 | 45 |
10 | FC Koln | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 41 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 39 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 35 |
13 | Augsburg | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 34 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 32 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 31 |
16 | Schalke 04Schalke | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 30 |
17 | Stuttgart | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 28 |
18 | Hertha Berlin | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 25 |
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