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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Sutton United |
48.65% ( -0.06) | 23.48% ( 0.02) | 27.87% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 59.4% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.09% ( -0.06) | 41.9% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.69% ( -0.06) | 64.31% ( 0.06) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.59% ( -0.05) | 17.41% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.16% ( -0.09) | 47.84% ( 0.08) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.92% | 28.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.26% ( 0) | 63.74% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Sutton United |
2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.9% Total : 48.65% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.48% | 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 27.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 26 | 27 | 51 |
2 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 25 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 49 |
3 | Wrexham | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 49 |
4 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 48 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 44 |
6 | Notts County | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 42 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 39 |
8 | MK Dons | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 39 |
9 | Crawley TownCrawley | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 39 |
10 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 38 |
11 | Gillingham | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 37 |
13 | Walsall | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 36 |
14 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 34 |
15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 34 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 33 |
17 | Morecambe | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 33 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 31 |
19 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 28 |
20 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 27 |
21 | Salford City | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 24 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 24 |
23 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 18 |
24 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 18 |
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