League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Borough Sports Ground
Sutton
3 - 0
Crawley
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Sutton
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Mansfield Town | 46 | 15 | 77 |
| 8 | Sutton United | 46 | 16 | 76 |
| 9 | Tranmere Rovers | 46 | 13 | 75 |
Last Game: Oldham 3-3 Crawley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Newport County | 46 | 9 | 69 |
| 12 | Crawley Town | 46 | -10 | 61 |
| 13 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 15 | 58 |
We said: Sutton United 2-1 Crawley Town
With far more to play for and the incentive of moving four points clear of the playoff-chasing sides, Sutton United should have enough to get over the line on Tuesday, albeit with the visitors expected to put up a fight. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 55.94% | 24.76% | 19.3% |
| Both teams to score 45.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
