St Johnstone 1-1 Livingston - Scottish Premiership - September 30, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

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Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Costelloe (36')
Sprangler (2'), May (90+2')
Gordon (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kelly (57' pen.)
MacKay (48'), Holt (80')

The Match

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

St Johnstone

All competitions

Last Game: Hibernian 2-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Livingston

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Rangers 4-0 Livingston
Wednesday, September 27 at 8pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: St Johnstone 1-1 Livingston

With both of their two league defeats taking place against Celtic and Rangers, Livingston will be confident about their chances of claiming a positive result against struggling St Johnstone. Although the visitors will be looking to pick up all three points, we think that they will have to settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
St Johnstone	Draw	Livingston
36.87% ( 0.23)	25.82% ( 0.11)	37.31% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 54.84% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.6% (

-0.48)

49.39% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.56% (

-0.43)

71.44% (

0.43)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.93% (

-0.09)

26.06% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.89% (

-0.12)

61.11% (

0.12)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.18% (

-0.41)

25.82% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.22% (

-0.56)

60.78% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

St Johnstone 36.87%

Livingston 37.31%

Draw 25.82%

St Johnstone	Draw	Livingston
1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.69% 3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.87%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.31%

How you voted: St Johnstone vs Livingston

St Johnstone

33.3%

Draw

50.0%

Livingston

16.7%

Head to Head

May 28, 2023 3pm

Gameweek 38

2-0

Wright (17'), Kane (68' pen.)

Penrice (40'), de Lucas (66'), Kelly (89')

Apr 15, 2023 3pm

Gameweek 32

2-0

Nouble (23'), Kelly (38')

Jan 14, 2023 3pm

Gameweek 22

2-4

Murphy (65'), McLennan (67')

Kelly (8', 15'), Penrice (39', 81')

Oct 15, 2022 3pm

Gameweek 11

1-0

Bahamboula (35')

May 7, 2022 3pm

Gameweek 3

1-1

Fitzwater (90')
Shinnie (14')

Middleton (76')
Hendry (38'), Davidson (89')