Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Portimonense |
42.29% ( 0) | 26.84% ( 0) | 30.87% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 50.25% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.32% ( -0) | 54.68% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.99% | 76.01% ( 0) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.44% | 25.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.57% ( 0) | 60.43% ( -0) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.51% ( -0) | 32.49% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.99% ( -0) | 69.01% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 11.32% 2-1 @ 8.69% 2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.32% Total : 42.28% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.88% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.84% | 0-1 @ 9.34% 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 |
11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 |
15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
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