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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Stoke logo

Bristol City
2 - 3
Stoke

Bell (5'), Wells (15')
Weimann (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Leris (20'), Haksabanovic (47'), Lowe (89')
Tchamadeu (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bournemouth 2-0 Stoke
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Stoke City

Even in defeat to Leicester, Bristol City gave a positive account of themselves, and that should stand them in good stead this weekend. Stoke look like they are making no progress under Neil, leading us to predict a home win, albeit by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawStoke City
37.58% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 25.53% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 36.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)48.09% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.75% (0.004999999999999 0)70.25% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94%25.06% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.26% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)59.74%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.45% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.72% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)60.27% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 37.58%
    Stoke City 36.88%
    Draw 25.52%
Bristol CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 0.98%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 37.58%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 8.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.26%
0-2 @ 5.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 36.88%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Stoke

Bristol City
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Stoke City
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Stoke
1-2
Bristol City
Powell (36')
Vyner (72'), Mehmeti (85')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Bristol City
1-2
Stoke
Wells (33')
Delap (45+2'), Brown (57')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Stoke
0-1
Bristol City

Brown (45+3'), Fletcher (45+3')
Dasilva (84')
Bentley (45+3'), Williams (45+3'), Atkinson (76'), Martin (80')
Nov 24, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Bristol City
1-0
Stoke
Bakinson (38')
O'Dowda (2'), Scott (68')

Allen (42'), Tymon (79')
Allen (90+6')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Bristol City
0-2
Stoke

Lansbury (14')
Powell (25'), Fletcher (62')
Brown (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds38257670284282
2Leicester CityLeicester37264774334182
3Ipswich TownIpswich38249580493181
4Southampton36227773472673
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381991059362366
6Norwich CityNorwich381871369541561
7Hull City371610115346758
8Coventry CityCoventry3715121059431657
9Preston North EndPreston37168134954-556
10Middlesbrough38166165352154
11Cardiff CityCardiff38165174351-853
12Sunderland38146184845348
13Watford381212145351248
14Bristol City38138174245-347
15Swansea CitySwansea381210164858-1046
16Millwall381110173650-1443
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn38119185164-1342
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth381011175462-841
19Stoke CityStoke38118193553-1841
20Queens Park RangersQPR381010183650-1440
21Birmingham CityBirmingham38109194259-1739
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield38815154261-1939
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38115223061-3138
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham38311243077-4720


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