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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Portsmouth |
36.19% ( -0.05) | 26.08% | 37.73% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 53.95% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.48% ( -0.01) | 50.52% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.55% ( -0.01) | 72.44% ( 0) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.01% ( -0.03) | 26.98% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.67% ( -0.04) | 62.33% ( 0.04) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.89% ( 0.02) | 26.1% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.83% ( 0.03) | 61.16% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 36.19% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 53 |
2 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
3 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 49 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 46 |
6 | Barnsley | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 43 |
7 | Stevenage | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 43 |
8 | Blackpool | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 39 |
9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 32 |
12 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 30 |
14 | Port Vale | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
15 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 30 |
16 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 29 |
17 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 27 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 27 |
20 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 26 |
21 | Reading | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 23 |
22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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