Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-0 Penafiel - Taca de Portugal Round of 16 - Football

Vitoria de Guimaraes will be regarded as firm favourites to come out on top against Penafiel on Thursday, and even if Pacheco opts to freshen up his starting lineup, the hosts should still be strong enough to outscore their second-tier opponents en route to securing their spot in the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 66.35%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Penafiel had a probability of 13.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Penafiel win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Penafiel
66.35% ( -0.17)	20.12% ( 0.11)	13.53% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 47.25% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.35% (

-0.3)

46.65% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.09% (

-0.28)

68.91% (

0.29)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.83% (

-0.14)

13.17% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.13% (

-0.29)

39.87% (

0.29)

Penafiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.41% (

-0.08)

45.59% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.6% (

-0.07)

81.4% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 66.34%

Penafiel 13.53%

Draw 20.12%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Penafiel
2-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 66.34%	1-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 20.12%	0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.22% Total : 13.53%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Penafiel

Vitoria de Guimaraes

83.3%

Draw

4.2%

Penafiel

12.5%

Form Guide

Braga 1-1 Guimaraes

Guimaraes 1-0 Rio Ave

Boavista 1-1 Guimaraes

Guimaraes 3-2 Sporting Lisbon

Farense 1-2 Guimaraes

Guimaraes 4-1 Vilaverdense

Penafiel 3-2 Setubal

Penafiel 3-0 Santa Maria

Nacional 0-0 Penafiel (0-0 pen.)

Estrela Amadora 1-1 Penafiel

Benfica 2-0 Penafiel

Penafiel 1-2 Moreirense

Africa Cup of Nations

Senegal

Asian Cup

South Korea

Iraq

Jordan

Atalanta

Guimaraes

Derby

Galatasaray

Auxerre

Necaxa

Premier League 2 - Div 1

West Ham U21s

Reading U21s

Stoke U21s

NFL Playoffs

Rams

23-24

Lions

9.30pm

Steelers

Bills

Australian Open First Round

> Fixtures

Result

Kypson
Ruusuvuori

6 3 4 64
4 6 6 77

Result

Musetti
Bonzi

77 77 4 6
63 64 6 2

Result

Carballes Baena
Gaston

3 2 6 4
6 6 3 6

Result

Cobolli
Jarry

6 3 6 2 7
4 6 3 6 5

Result

Korda
Kopriva

6 6 2 4 6
1 4 6 6 2

Result

Wickmayer
Gracheva

3 4
6 6

Result

Noskova
Bouzkova

6 7
1 5

Result

Podoroska
Zidansek

6 6
1 0

Result

Day
Tomova

4 2
6 6

Result

Svitolina
Preston

6 6
2 2

Result

Yastremska
Vondrousova

6 6
1 2

Result

Hunter
Errani

6 6
4 3

Result

Atmane
Medvedev

7 2 4 0
5 6 6 1

(ret.)

Result

Karolina Schmiedlova
Gauff

3 0
6 6

Result

Mannarino
Wawrinka

6 3 5 6 6
4 6 7 3 0

Result

Bautista Agut
Shelton

2 62 5
6 77 7

Result

Duckworth
Van Assche

77 3 6 3 3
62 6 3 6 6

Result

Popyrin
Polmans

6 77 6
3 63 2

Result

Lestienne
Davidovich Fokina

4 4 65
6 6 77

Result

Juvan
Potapova

6 6
1 4

Result

Alexandrova
Siegemund

2 6 69
6 3 711

Result

Maria
Osorio

7 64 6
5 77 4

Result

Kostyuk
Liu

6 4 6
3 6 1

Result

Ferro
Kessler

6 3 2
3 6 6

Result

Shnaider
Paolini

3 4
6 6

Result

Masarova
Sasnovich

6 6
3 4

Result

Bergs
Tsitsipas

7 1 1 3
5 6 6 6

Result

Vukic
Thompson

6 63 2 6 4
3 77 6 3 6

Result

Shapovalov
Mensik

3 5 5
6 7 7

Result

Pavlyuchenkova
Vekic

6 6
4 4

Result

Eubanks
Daniel

6 6 6
4 2 3

Result

Murray
Martin Etcheverry

4 2 2
6 6 6

Result

Hanfmann
Monfils

4 3 5
6 6 7

Result

Marterer
Borges

5 63 2
7 77 6

Result

Altmaier
Khachanov

7 3 65 63
5 6 77 77

Result

Tabilo
Kovacevic

77 67 6 1 3
62 79 1 6 6

Result

Cristian
Siniakova

2 5
6 7

Result

Putintseva
Zakharova

6 0 3
2 6 6

Result

Frech
Saville

65 6 7
77 3 5

Result

Sherif
Mertens

2 0
6 2

(ret.)

Result

Humbert
Goffin

6 7 5 6
2 5 7 3

Result

Muller
Grenier

6 6 6 4 67
2 7 4 6 710

Result

Hijikata
Struff

6 3 2 77 68
3 6 6 62 710

Result

Kecmanovic
Watanuki

4 7 6 6
6 5 3 4

Result

Zhizhen
Coria

6 77 77
4 63 65

Result

Golubic
Kudermetova

77 1 6
64 6 1

Result

Kalinskaya
Volynets

6 3 6
3 6 2

Result

Fruhvirtova
Haddad Maia

2 6 2
6 3 6

Result

Kalinina
Rus

1 0
6 6

Result

Townsend
Badosa

1 3
6 6

Result

Andreeva
Pera

7 6
5 2

Result

Jasika
Hurkacz

64 4 2
77 6 6

Result

De Minaur
Raonic

66 6 2
78 3 0

(ret.)

Result

Jabeur
Starodubtseva

6 6
3 1

Result

Auger-Aliassime
Thiem

6 7 65 5 6
3 5 77 7 3

Result

Garcia
Osaka

6 77
4 62

> View full version> Yesterday's results

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Liverpool	20	13	6	1	43	18	25	45
2	Manchester City Man City	20	13	4	3	48	23	25	43
3	Aston Villa	21	13	4	4	43	27	16	43
4	Arsenal	20	12	4	4	37	20	17	40
5	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	21	12	4	5	44	31	13	40
6	West Ham United West Ham	20	10	4	6	33	30	3	34
7	Manchester United Man Utd	21	10	2	9	24	29	-5	32
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	20	8	7	5	38	33	5	31
9	Chelsea	21	9	4	8	35	31	4	31
10	Newcastle United Newcastle	21	9	2	10	41	32	9	29
11	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	20	8	4	8	30	31	-1	28
12	Bournemouth	19	7	4	8	28	35	-7	25
13	Fulham	21	7	3	11	28	36	-8	24
14	Crystal Palace	20	5	6	9	22	29	-7	21
15	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	20	5	5	10	24	35	-11	20
16	Brentford	19	5	4	10	26	31	-5	19
17	Everton	21	8	3	10	24	28	-4	17
18	Luton Town Luton	20	4	4	12	24	38	-14	16
19	Burnley	21	3	3	15	21	42	-21	12
20	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	20	2	3	15	15	49	-34	9
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