Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 63.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
63.71% ( -1.65) | 20.29% ( 0.87) | 16% ( 0.77) |
Both teams to score 52.87% ( -1.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.66% ( -2.47) | 42.34% ( 2.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.25% ( -2.51) | 64.75% ( 2.51) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.38% ( -1.19) | 12.62% ( 1.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.26% ( -2.52) | 38.74% ( 2.52) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.51% ( -0.53) | 39.49% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.82% ( -0.49) | 76.18% ( 0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.65) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.29) 4-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.33) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.18) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.2) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.37% Total : 63.7% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.48) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.29% | 0-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.96% Total : 16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 |
3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 |
4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 |
5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 |
8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 |
9 | Rochdale | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 |
12 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
15 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
16 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
17 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
22 | York City | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 16 |
23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 |
24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
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