Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Lazio |
56.11% ( 0.06) | 23.74% ( -0.03) | 20.15% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 49.69% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.45% ( 0.06) | 50.54% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.53% ( 0.05) | 72.46% ( -0.06) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.15% ( 0.05) | 17.84% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.4% ( 0.08) | 48.59% ( -0.08) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.48% ( -0) | 39.51% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.79% ( -0) | 76.2% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 56.11% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.24% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.4% 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.36% Total : 20.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 76 |
2 | AC Milan | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 62 |
3 | Juventus | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 59 |
4 | Bologna | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Roma | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
7 | Napoli | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 45 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
9 | Lazio | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Monza | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
13 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
14 | Udinese | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 26 |
17 | Empoli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 25 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 24 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 23 |
20 | Salernitana | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 14 |
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