Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli1 - 2Lazio
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Sassuolo
Sunday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Sunday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Napoli 2-1 Lazio
The last league draw between these clubs came almost seven years ago, when Maurizio Sarri was in charge of Napoli. Given their sluggish start, Lazio would surely take a point from this high-profile clash at Stadio Maradona, but the hosts have started smoothly under new management and pose a greater goal threat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 61.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Lazio |
61.18% ( -0) | 21.61% ( 0) | 17.22% |
| Both teams to score 51.14% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
