Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Napoli |
32.56% | 25.16% | 42.28% |
Both teams to score 56.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.87% | 47.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.64% | 69.36% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.45% | 27.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.93% | 63.07% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.76% | 22.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.33% | 55.67% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 7.9% 2-1 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 5.09% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.47% 3-0 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.56% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.13% 2-2 @ 5.75% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 9.21% 1-2 @ 8.93% 0-2 @ 6.92% 1-3 @ 4.47% 0-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.32% Total : 42.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 65 |
2 | Lazio | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 48 |
3 | Inter Milan | 24 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 47 |
4 | AC Milan | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 47 |
5 | Roma | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 44 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 41 |
7 | Juventus | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 40 | 19 | 21 | 35 |
8 | Bologna | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 35 |
9 | Torino | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 31 |
10 | Udinese | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 31 |
11 | Monza | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 29 |
12 | Fiorentina | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 28 |
13 | Empoli | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 28 |
14 | SassuoloSassuolo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 27 |
15 | Lecce | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
16 | Salernitana | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 17 |
19 | Cremonese | 24 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 12 |
20 | Sampdoria | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 11 |
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