Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 73.63%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Salernitana |
73.63% | 15.98% | 10.39% |
Both teams to score 51.5% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.25% | 35.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.17% | 57.83% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.66% | 8.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.95% | 29.05% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.19% | 43.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.03% | 79.97% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Salernitana |
2-0 @ 11.27% 3-0 @ 9.34% 2-1 @ 9.31% 1-0 @ 9.08% 3-1 @ 7.71% 4-0 @ 5.8% 4-1 @ 4.79% 3-2 @ 3.18% 5-0 @ 2.88% 5-1 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.98% 6-0 @ 1.19% 6-1 @ 0.99% 5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.77% Total : 73.63% | 1-1 @ 7.49% 2-2 @ 3.84% 0-0 @ 3.65% Other @ 1% Total : 15.98% | 1-2 @ 3.09% 0-1 @ 3.01% 0-2 @ 1.24% 2-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.98% Total : 10.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 49 | 10 | 39 | 51 |
2 | Juventus | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 12 | 17 | 46 |
3 | AC Milan | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 39 |
4 | Fiorentina | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Bologna | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 32 |
6 | Napoli | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 31 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 30 |
8 | Lazio | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 30 |
9 | Roma | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 29 |
10 | Torino | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 28 |
11 | Monza | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 22 |
13 | Lecce | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 21 |
14 | SassuoloSassuolo | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 19 |
15 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 19 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Udinese | 19 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 17 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 15 |
19 | Empoli | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 13 |
20 | Salernitana | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 12 |
> Serie A Full Table |