Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 68.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 13.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-2 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Sampdoria |
68.18% | 18.28% | 13.53% |
Both teams to score 53.55% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.68% | 38.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.4% | 60.6% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.73% | 10.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.36% | 33.64% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.68% | 40.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.06% | 76.94% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Sampdoria |
2-0 @ 10.72% 2-1 @ 9.74% 1-0 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 8.14% 3-1 @ 7.39% 4-0 @ 4.63% 4-1 @ 4.21% 3-2 @ 3.36% 5-0 @ 2.11% 5-1 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.91% Other @ 4.63% Total : 68.17% | 1-1 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 4.43% 0-0 @ 4.14% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.28% | 1-2 @ 3.89% 0-1 @ 3.76% 0-2 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.34% 1-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.66% Total : 13.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 13 | 26 | 44 |
2 | Juventus | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 37 |
3 | AC Milan | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 36 |
4 | Inter Milan | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 34 |
5 | Lazio | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 31 |
6 | Roma | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 30 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Udinese | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
9 | Fiorentina | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 23 |
10 | Torino | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 23 |
11 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
12 | Bologna | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 19 |
13 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 19 |
14 | Salernitana | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 18 |
15 | Monza | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
16 | SassuoloSassuolo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 16 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 15 |
18 | Sampdoria | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 9 |
19 | Cremonese | 16 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 7 |
20 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 6 |
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