MX23RW : Saturday, May 6 19:58:02| >> :600:203736:203736:
Bristol City
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Swansea logo
Bristol City
1 - 1
Swansea
Semenyo (75')
Naismith (39'), Pring (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Piroe (15')
Allen (45+3'), Wood (62'), Darling (69')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Bristol City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Bristol City
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Burnley
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Swansea City

Although both clubs have struggled of late, there will be a level of encouragement from their recent results. It remains a difficult match to call, yet we feel that Swansea's greater attacking threat could prove key at Ashton Gate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawSwansea City
28.55% (0.409 0.41) 24.88% (0.187 0.19) 46.57% (-0.602 -0.6)
Both teams to score 55.18% (-0.328 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.3% (-0.566 -0.57)47.7% (0.559 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.1% (-0.525 -0.52)69.89% (0.51900000000001 0.52)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.43% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)30.56% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.21% (0.011000000000003 0.01)66.79% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)20.53% (0.481 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.96% (-0.774 -0.77)53.04% (0.76799999999999 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 28.55%
    Swansea City 46.57%
    Draw 24.87%
Bristol CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 7.44% (0.174 0.17)
2-1 @ 6.98% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 4.41% (0.105 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.74% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 28.55%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.28% (0.145 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.87%
0-1 @ 9.93% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.86% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.92% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-3 @ 4.15% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.95% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.64% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 46.57%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Swansea

Bristol City
29.9%
Draw
19.4%
Swansea City
50.7%
67
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 12pm
Feb 13, 2022 1pm
Swansea
3-1
Bristol City
Obafemi (54'), Christie (79'), Piroe (90+4')
Obafemi (56'), Christie (90+2')
Weimann (42')
Klose (59'), Dasilva (69'), Semenyo (86'), Martin (90+2'), Williams (90+4')
Aug 20, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
0-1
Swansea

Simpson (36'), Weimann (58'), Atkinson (76'), Semenyo (84')
Piroe (19')
Fulton (17'), Piroe (35'), Manning (47'), Bidwell (57'), Latibeaudiere (67'), Grimes (90')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Swansea
1-3
Bristol City
Ayew (55' pen.)
Bidwell (61')
Wells (66'), Palmer (80'), Semenyo (90+7')
Towler (25'), Semenyo (90+10')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Bristol City
1-1
Swansea
Wells (83' pen.)
Wells (89')
Lowe (51')
Smith (32'), Roberts (80'), Fulton (81'), Grimes (83'), Ayew (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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