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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Burnley logo
Swansea
1 - 2
Burnley
Cooper (27')
Darling (12'), Allen (45+2'), Latibeaudiere (79')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Maatsen (13', 22')
Brownhill (41'), Beyer (58'), Berg Gudmundsson (79'), Barnes (90+5'), Benson (90+5')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 4-0 Watford
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Burnley
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-3 Burnley

Both sides head into Monday's contest in high spirits, but league leaders Burnley will be regarded as strong favourites to kick-start 2023 with another victory. Indeed, the Clarets have looked unstoppable in recent weeks and although Swansea boast a good record on home soil, we believe that Kompany and co will get the job done at the Liberty Stadium and maintain their position at the Championship summit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBurnley
40.72% (1.299 1.3) 26.86% (-0.185 -0.19) 32.41% (-1.122 -1.12)
Both teams to score 50.74% (0.274 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.68% (0.48099999999999 0.48)54.31% (-0.487 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.29% (0.398 0.4)75.7% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.77% (0.93299999999999 0.93)26.22% (-0.939 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.67% (1.235 1.24)61.32% (-1.241 -1.24)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.77% (-0.508 -0.51)31.22% (0.503 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.43% (-0.593 -0.59)67.56% (0.58800000000001 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 40.71%
    Burnley 32.41%
    Draw 26.85%
Swansea CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.95% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.173 0.17)
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.248 0.25)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.175 0.18)
3-0 @ 3.27% (0.194 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.072 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.091 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 40.71%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.19% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.85%
0-1 @ 9.53% (-0.318 -0.32)
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.265 -0.27)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 32.41%

How you voted: Swansea vs Burnley

Swansea City
14.3%
Draw
10.0%
Burnley
75.7%
70
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Burnley
4-0
Swansea
Vitinho (15'), Rodriguez (29', 57'), Zaroury (45+3')

Sorinola (23')
Feb 10, 2018 3pm
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Burnley
2-0
Swansea
Cork (29'), Barnes (39')
Ward (17')

Dyer (97')
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Swansea
3-2
Burnley
Llorente (13', 92'), Olsson (70')
Fer (57'), Cork (85')
Gray (20' pen., 61')
Ward (9'), Mee (54')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBurnley4629143873552101
4Middlesbrough462291584562875
5Coventry CityCoventry4618161258461270
6Sunderland4618151368551369
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46209175254-269
8Millwall461911165750768
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom461812165953666
10Swansea CitySwansea461812166864466
11Watford461615155653363
12Preston North EndPreston461712174559-1463
13Norwich CityNorwich461711185754362
14Bristol City461514175556-159
15Hull City461416165161-1058
16Stoke CityStoke461411215554153
17Birmingham CityBirmingham461411214758-1153
18Huddersfield TownHuddersfield461411214762-1553
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham461117184960-1150
20Queens Park RangersQPR461311224471-2750
21Cardiff CityCardiff461310234158-1749
RReading461311224668-2244
RBlackpool461111244872-2444
RWigan AthleticWigan461015213865-2742

Real Madrid Until The End
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