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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Swansea City |
35% | 27.29% | 37.7% |
Both teams to score 49.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.42% | 55.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.25% | 76.74% |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.84% | 30.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.69% | 66.31% |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.49% | 28.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.71% | 64.28% |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 10.3% 2-1 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 3.1% 3-0 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.33% Total : 35% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 8.6% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 10.79% 1-2 @ 8.12% 0-2 @ 6.77% 1-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.7% Total : 37.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Burnley | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 56 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 51 |
3 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 26 | 14 | 0 | 12 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 42 |
4 | Watford | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 40 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 39 |
6 | Millwall | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Luton TownLuton | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Sunderland | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 38 |
9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 38 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 36 |
12 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 36 |
13 | Reading | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 36 |
14 | Coventry CityCoventry | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 35 |
16 | Hull City | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 33 |
17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 32 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
19 | Bristol City | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 29 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 28 |
21 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 27 |
22 | Blackpool | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 26 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 25 |
24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 24 |
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