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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Bristol City |
56.1% | 23.7% | 20.2% |
Both teams to score 49.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.65% | 50.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.7% | 72.29% |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.22% | 17.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.51% | 48.49% |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.65% | 39.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.95% | 76.05% |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 12.08% 2-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 6.01% 3-1 @ 5.6% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-0 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.48% Total : 56.09% | 1-1 @ 11.27% 0-0 @ 7% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.7% | 0-1 @ 6.53% 1-2 @ 5.26% 0-2 @ 3.04% 1-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.38% Total : 20.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Burnley | 37 | 24 | 11 | 2 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 83 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 21 | 7 | 9 | 58 | 33 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 69 | 42 | 27 | 67 |
4 | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 64 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 37 | 19 | 4 | 14 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 61 |
6 | Millwall | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 60 |
7 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 57 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 57 |
9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 55 |
10 | Watford | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 55 |
11 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 53 |
12 | Preston North EndPreston | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 53 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 48 |
15 | Hull City | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 47 |
16 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 46 |
17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 45 |
18 | Reading | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 45 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 59 | -21 | 42 |
20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 40 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
23 | Blackpool | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 35 |
24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
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