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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Bristol City |
55.22% | 23.26% | 21.52% |
Both teams to score 53.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.09% | 46.91% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.84% | 69.16% |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.16% | 16.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.15% | 46.85% |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.96% | 36.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.17% | 72.82% |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 10.81% 2-1 @ 9.83% 2-0 @ 9.63% 3-1 @ 5.84% 3-0 @ 5.72% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-0 @ 2.55% 4-2 @ 1.33% 5-1 @ 0.93% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.11% Total : 55.22% | 1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 6.07% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.25% | 0-1 @ 6.2% 1-2 @ 5.63% 0-2 @ 3.16% 1-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.84% Total : 21.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Burnley | 37 | 24 | 11 | 2 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 83 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 21 | 7 | 9 | 58 | 33 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Middlesbrough | 37 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 65 | 42 | 23 | 64 |
4 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 17 | 12 | 8 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 63 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 37 | 19 | 4 | 14 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 61 |
6 | Millwall | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 60 |
7 | Norwich CityNorwich | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 56 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 55 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 54 |
10 | Watford | 37 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 54 |
11 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 53 |
12 | Sunderland | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 52 |
13 | Bristol City | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 45 | 44 | 1 | 48 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 47 |
15 | Hull City | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 46 |
16 | Reading | 37 | 13 | 5 | 19 | 39 | 57 | -18 | 44 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
18 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 42 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 38 | 58 | -20 | 42 |
20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 40 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 39 |
22 | Blackpool | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 35 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 33 |
24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 37 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 32 | 58 | -26 | 33 |
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