Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 55.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for an AEK Larnaca win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.