Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 79.89%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 7.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.03%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Spezia |
79.89% | 12.88% | 7.23% |
Both teams to score 49.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.69% | 31.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.24% | 52.76% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.91% | 6.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.87% | 23.13% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.47% | 47.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.12% | 82.88% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Spezia |
2-0 @ 11.33% 3-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 8.43% 1-0 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 7.87% 4-0 @ 7.41% 4-1 @ 5.51% 5-0 @ 4.15% 5-1 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-2 @ 2.05% 6-0 @ 1.94% 6-1 @ 1.44% 5-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.92% Total : 79.88% | 1-1 @ 6.03% 2-2 @ 3.14% 0-0 @ 2.89% Other @ 0.83% Total : 12.88% | 1-2 @ 2.24% 0-1 @ 2.15% Other @ 2.84% Total : 7.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 15 | 36 | 56 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
3 | Roma | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 38 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 38 |
6 | AC Milan | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Torino | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 30 |
8 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 29 |
9 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 29 |
10 | Empoli | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 26 |
11 | Monza | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
12 | Fiorentina | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 24 |
13 | Juventus | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 23 |
14 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 23 |
15 | SassuoloSassuolo | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 23 |
16 | Salernitana | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 21 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35 | -18 | 18 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 13 |
19 | Sampdoria | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 9 |
20 | Cremonese | 21 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 |
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