We said: Napoli 2-1 Lazio
Napoli, who will pay an emotional tribute to club icon Diego Maradona to mark the anniversary of his death last year, have unquestionably been rocked by recent results, but can bounce back quickly to beat the Biancocelesti.
Their supremacy in this fixture and on home soil, allied to Lazio's porous rearguard, means that they can come out on top in a battle of Serie A's southern giants; paying appropriate tribute to their eternal number 10.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 65.14%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 15.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Lazio win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
