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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lincoln City in this match.
Result | ||
Lincoln City | Draw | Oxford United |
37.84% ( 0.03) | 27.97% ( -0.02) | 34.19% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.77% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.77% ( 0.05) | 58.23% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.13% ( 0.04) | 78.87% ( -0.04) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.28% ( 0.04) | 29.72% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.22% ( 0.05) | 65.78% ( -0.06) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.98% ( 0.02) | 32.02% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.51% ( 0.02) | 68.49% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Lincoln City | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.84% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 41 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 71 | 44 | 27 | 86 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 41 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 85 | 32 | 53 | 85 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 42 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 84 |
4 | Barnsley | 41 | 25 | 6 | 10 | 74 | 38 | 36 | 81 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 41 | 20 | 11 | 10 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 71 |
6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 42 | 22 | 4 | 16 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 70 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 42 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 69 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 65 |
9 | Portsmouth | 42 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 64 |
10 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 41 | 16 | 8 | 17 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 56 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 62 | 59 | 3 | 55 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 41 | 12 | 19 | 10 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 55 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 59 | 56 | 3 | 53 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 42 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 53 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 52 |
16 | Burton Albion | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 76 | -22 | 48 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 47 |
18 | Port Vale | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 46 |
19 | MK Dons | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 43 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 41 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 41 | 11 | 7 | 23 | 35 | 61 | -26 | 40 |
22 | Morecambe | 43 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 39 | 71 | -32 | 38 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 41 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 38 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 42 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 30 | 81 | -51 | 26 |
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