Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.17%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
