MX23RW : Tuesday, April 25 17:39:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Cambuur
Emmen
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
NEC
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 5, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
NEC
Ajax
1 - 0
Nijmegen
Kudus (52')
Kudus (13')
FT(HT: 0-0)

van Rooij (45+1'), Baldursson (72'), Tannane (90+5')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: De Graafschap 0-3 Ajax
Thursday, March 2 at 8pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 Volendam
Saturday, February 25 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 3-0 NEC

Having posted two 3-0 wins in succession, confidence will be oozing out of NEC ahead of the toughest fixture on their schedule. However, there is more chance of the visitors losing by that scoreline this week as Ajax continue to impress under Heitinga. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 83.12%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for NEC had a probability of 6.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 4-0 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.89%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (1.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawNEC
83.12% (-1.642 -1.64) 10.83% (0.878 0.88) 6.05% (0.768 0.77)
Both teams to score 51.83% (1.128 1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.87% (-1.145 -1.15)25.13% (1.149 1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.92% (-1.511 -1.51)45.08% (1.515 1.52)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.63% (-0.44 -0.44)4.37% (0.446 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.96% (-1.41 -1.41)18.04% (1.415 1.42)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.2% (1.426 1.43)45.8% (-1.421 -1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.43% (1.094 1.09)81.57% (-1.088 -1.09)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 83.11%
    NEC 6.05%
    Draw 10.83%
AjaxDrawNEC
3-0 @ 10.23% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-0 @ 9.8% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
4-0 @ 8.01% (-0.478 -0.48)
3-1 @ 7.99% (0.123 0.12)
2-1 @ 7.66% (0.367 0.37)
1-0 @ 6.26% (0.263 0.26)
4-1 @ 6.26% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-0 @ 5.02% (-0.481 -0.48)
5-1 @ 3.92% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.168 0.17)
6-0 @ 2.62% (-0.35 -0.35)
4-2 @ 2.44% (0.053 0.05)
6-1 @ 2.05% (-0.182 -0.18)
5-2 @ 1.53% (-0.019 -0.02)
7-0 @ 1.17% (-0.202 -0.2)
7-1 @ 0.92% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 83.11%
1-1 @ 4.89% (0.388 0.39)
2-2 @ 2.99% (0.255 0.26)
0-0 @ 2% (0.148 0.15)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 10.83%
1-2 @ 1.91% (0.221 0.22)
0-1 @ 1.56% (0.171 0.17)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 6.05%

How you voted: Ajax vs Nijmegen

Ajax
89.7%
Draw
3.4%
NEC
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 1.30pm
Nijmegen
1-1
Ajax
Dimata (52')
Marquez (88')
Klaassen (38')
Sanchez (50'), Rensch (58'), Conceicao (69')
Apr 23, 2022 3.30pm
Nijmegen
0-1
Ajax

Schone (55'), Guth (59')
Brobbey (88')
Blind (53')
Aug 14, 2021 8pm
Ajax
5-0
Nijmegen
Haller (5'), Mazraoui (9'), Van Rooij (13' og.), Tadic (19', 38')
Apr 8, 2017 6.45pm
Nijmegen
1-5
Ajax
Kadioglu (54')
Breinburg (5' og.), Neres (8'), Traore (32', 60'), Ziyech (78')
van de Beek (72')
Nov 20, 2016 1.30pm
Ajax
5-0
Nijmegen
Dolberg (19', 24', 37'), Traore (55'), Schone (57')

von Haacke (37'), Golla (39'), Dyrestam (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Feyenoord30227173284573
2PSV EindhovenPSV30205581354665
3Ajax30188479324762
4AZ AlkmaarAZ30186659322760
5Sparta RotterdamSparta30158750331753
6FC Twente301410651262552
7FC UtrechtUtrecht3012994645145
8NECNijmegen3081483934538
9RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk30108124652-638
10Heerenveen30108123645-938
11Go Ahead Eagles3099124250-836
12Fortuna SittardSittard3095163556-2132
13Vitesse30710133648-1231
14FC VolendamVolendam3086163661-2530
15EmmenEmmen30610142951-2228
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior3084182766-3928
17Groningen3045212860-3217
18Cambuur3044222160-3916

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