Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 18.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 0-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Vitesse win it was 2-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Ajax |
18.59% ( -0.07) | 20.51% ( 0.08) | 60.9% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.63% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.29% ( -0.52) | 38.7% ( 0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.99% ( -0.55) | 61.01% ( 0.55) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.71% ( -0.39) | 34.28% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.01% ( -0.42) | 70.98% ( 0.42) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.7% ( -0.16) | 12.3% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.92% ( -0.34) | 38.08% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 18.59% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.51% | 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.26% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 6.92% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 6.47% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 3.63% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 3.39% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.9% Total : 60.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 29 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 70 |
2 | Ajax | 29 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 79 | 29 | 50 | 62 |
3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 78 | 35 | 43 | 62 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 56 | 32 | 24 | 57 |
5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 52 |
6 | FC Twente | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 51 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 45 |
8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 38 |
9 | Heerenveen | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 38 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 35 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 32 |
12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 30 |
13 | Vitesse | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 30 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 34 | 61 | -27 | 27 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 29 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 27 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 26 | 49 | -23 | 25 |
17 | Groningen | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 28 | 59 | -31 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 29 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 16 |
> Full Version |