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Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Atlanta United
Toronto
2 - 2
Atlanta
Laryea (43'), Servania (90+4')
Bernardeschi (63'), Osorio (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Giakoumakis (4'), Chol (76')
Chol (76')

MLS Rivalry Week is upon us, and you can watch every game live with the MLS season pass on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.

The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 0-0 Toronto
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 0-1 Atlanta United

Since winning the World Cup with Argentina last December, Almada has been a force to the reckoned with in MLS, and we expect he will give the Toronto backline fits with his ability to find space and pick out their attacking players. As solid as the Reds have been defensively, they do not have a difference-maker like Almada in the middle of the field, and their finished product is still missing.

How to watch

You can watch Toronto vs. Atlanta United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawAtlanta United
44.88% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02) 24.04% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 31.08% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.56% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.38% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)42.62% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97% (0.009999999999998 0.01)65.02% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)19.19% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)50.88% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.71% (0.015000000000001 0.02)26.28% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.59% (0.018000000000001 0.02)61.4% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 44.88%
    Atlanta United 31.08%
    Draw 24.03%
TorontoDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.33% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 2.09%
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 7.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 31.08%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
Sep 11, 2022 12.30am
Atlanta
4-2
Toronto
Sanchez (47', 62', 88'), Almada (74')
Hernandez (39')
Akinola (52'), Bernardeschi (67' pen.)
Jun 26, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
Atlanta
Osorio (8'), Priso-Mbongue (78')
Nelson (28'), Salcedo (52')
Araujo (57')
Moreno (54'), Araujo (70')
Oct 30, 2021 11pm
Atlanta
1-1
Toronto
Araujo (15')
Barco (56')
Perruzza (88')
DeLeon (17'), Lawrence (69')
Oct 17, 2021 12.30am
Toronto
0-2
Atlanta

Achara (24'), Delgado (90+2')
Auro (83')
Araujo (45+2'), Moreno (90+7')
Rossetto (16'), Walkes (90+8')
Barco (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati139312114730
2Nashville SCNashville147431991025
3New England RevolutionNew England137331914524
4Atlanta UnitedAtlanta146442824422
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia136342014621
6DC United145451916319
7Orlando City135441616019
8Columbus Crew135352517818
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC145361925-618
10New York City FCNY City134451516-116
11New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls143741012-216
12Chicago Fire133641821-315
13Inter MiamiInter Miami135081417-315
14CF MontrealMontreal135081222-1015
15Toronto142751318-513

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles1274123101325
2St Louis City1372426131323
3Seattle SoundersSeattle147252013723
4Dallas146531613323
5San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes135351718-118
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd135351214-218
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver134541814417
8Portland TimbersPortland144461820-216
9Austin FCAustin134451318-516
10Houston DynamoHouston124351111015
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake134361322-915
12Colorado RapidsColorado142661221-912
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas14248921-1210
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy132381023-139

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