Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 49.68%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
