Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 52.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | Chicago Fire |
52.85% | 23.75% | 23.4% |
Both teams to score 54.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.02% | 46.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.78% | 69.22% |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.27% | 17.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.6% | 48.4% |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.66% | 34.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.95% | 71.04% |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | Chicago Fire |
1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.74% 2-0 @ 9.11% 3-1 @ 5.62% 3-0 @ 5.25% 3-2 @ 3% 4-1 @ 2.43% 4-0 @ 2.27% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.6% Total : 52.85% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 0-0 @ 6.09% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.75% | 0-1 @ 6.51% 1-2 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 3.48% 1-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.85% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.16% Total : 23.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 20 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 36 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 35 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 33 |
4 | CF MontrealMontreal | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 29 |
5 | Orlando City | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 29 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 27 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 26 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 23 |
11 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 20 |
13 | Toronto | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 19 |
14 | DC United | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 18 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 20 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 36 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 35 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 33 |
4 | CF MontrealMontreal | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 29 |
5 | Orlando City | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 29 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 27 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 26 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 23 |
11 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 20 |
13 | Toronto | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 19 |
14 | DC United | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 18 |