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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 59.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 2-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
59.92% | 21.42% | 18.66% |
Both teams to score 54.59% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.22% | 42.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.82% | 65.18% |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.12% | 13.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.71% | 41.28% |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.38% | 36.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.59% | 73.4% |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.96% 2-0 @ 9.91% 3-1 @ 6.55% 3-0 @ 6.52% 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 3.24% 4-0 @ 3.22% 4-2 @ 1.63% 5-1 @ 1.28% 5-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.02% Total : 59.92% | 1-1 @ 10.08% 0-0 @ 5.08% 2-2 @ 5% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.41% | 0-1 @ 5.11% 1-2 @ 5.06% 0-2 @ 2.56% 1-3 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.55% Total : 18.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 65 |
2 | Orlando City | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 54 |
3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 52 |
4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 51 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 62 | 43 | 19 | 50 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 47 | 14 | 49 |
7 | Nashville SCNashville | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 45 |
8 | New York City FCNY City | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 38 |
9 | DC United | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Chicago Fire | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 37 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 37 |
12 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 34 |
13 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 33 |
14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 33 |
15 | Toronto | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 32 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 62 | 40 | 22 | 56 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 46 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 45 |
4 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 44 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 43 |
6 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 43 |
7 | Portland TimbersPortland | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 43 |
8 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 41 |
10 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 38 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 38 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 35 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 45 | 54 | -9 | 35 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 26 |