Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 51.91%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | Toronto |
51.91% | 22.46% | 25.63% |
Both teams to score 60.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.04% | 38.96% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.72% | 61.28% |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.84% | 15.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.25% | 43.75% |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.83% | 28.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.14% | 63.86% |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | Toronto |
2-1 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 8.06% 2-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 6.06% 3-0 @ 4.78% 3-2 @ 3.84% 4-1 @ 2.86% 4-0 @ 2.26% 4-2 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.96% Total : 51.91% | 1-1 @ 10.2% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 4.27% 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.46% | 1-2 @ 6.47% 0-1 @ 5.41% 0-2 @ 3.43% 1-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.58% Total : 25.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 20 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 36 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 35 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 33 |
4 | CF MontrealMontreal | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 29 |
5 | Orlando City | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 29 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 27 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 26 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 23 |
11 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 20 |
13 | Toronto | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 19 |
14 | DC United | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 18 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 20 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 36 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 35 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 33 |
4 | CF MontrealMontreal | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 29 |
5 | Orlando City | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 29 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 27 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 26 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 23 |
11 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 20 |
13 | Toronto | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 19 |
14 | DC United | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 18 |