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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 56.38%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 21.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | Toronto |
56.38% | 21.71% | 21.91% |
Both teams to score 58.97% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.49% | 39.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.15% | 61.85% |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.11% | 13.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.68% | 41.32% |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.48% | 31.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.09% | 67.91% |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | Toronto |
2-1 @ 9.85% 1-0 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 8.53% 3-1 @ 6.48% 3-0 @ 5.61% 3-2 @ 3.74% 4-1 @ 3.2% 4-0 @ 2.77% 4-2 @ 1.85% 5-1 @ 1.26% 5-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.36% Total : 56.38% | 1-1 @ 9.98% 2-2 @ 5.69% 0-0 @ 4.38% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.71% | 1-2 @ 5.76% 0-1 @ 5.06% 0-2 @ 2.92% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.65% Total : 21.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 24 |
3 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 18 |
4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 15 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 14 |
8 | DC United | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Orlando City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 14 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
11 | Toronto | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 12 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
15 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 20 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 18 |
4 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
5 | Dallas | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 16 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 14 |
8 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 12 |
10 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 12 |
11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 6 |
14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 6 |