Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 48.19%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Columbus Crew in this match.
